How often does each Ice Fishing result come up?
A bonus round came up 12,586 times in those 95,179 rounds, once every 7.6 spins on average. Half the waits were 5 spins or shorter, nine in ten were 17 spins or shorter, and the longest on record was 59 spins.
Counted from the 95,179 Ice Fishing rounds Scoreo has recorded since 5 September 2026, 37 days of play. This answers a different question from the tracker: not what is happening right now, but how far apart the results fall over a long run.
Across those 95,179 rounds, Leaf 2 came up 41,378 times, a 43.5% share against 43.4% expected, once every 2.3 spins, Leaf 1 came up 41,211 times, a 43.3% share against 43.4% expected, once every 2.3 spins and Lil' Blues came up 7,190 times, a 7.6% share against 7.6% expected, once every 13 spins.
The longest waits on record are 490 spins without Huge Reds, ended 19 September 2026, 234 spins without Big Oranges, ended 17 September 2026 and 134 spins without Lil' Blues, ended 9 October 2026. These count rounds already played, and the odds of the next one are the same whatever the counters say.
The expected column is the game’s own maths. Ice Fishing has 53 segments, so a result covering one of them is expected on 1.9% of spins, and the recorded share beside it is what actually happened over 95,179 rounds.
Last updated
Every result, measured
Hits and gaps over the whole archive, next to the share the published odds give each result.
| Result | Hits | Share | Expected | Average gap | Median | 9 in 10 under | Longest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leaf 1 | 41,211 | 43.3% | 43.4% | 2.3 spins | 2 spins | 5 spins | 18 spins |
 Leaf 2 | 41,379 | 43.5% | 43.4% | 2.3 spins | 2 spins | 5 spins | 24 spins |
 Lil' Blues | 7,190 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 13 spins | 9 spins | 30 spins | 134 spins |
 Big Oranges | 3,606 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 26 spins | 19 spins | 61 spins | 234 spins |
 Huge Reds | 1,790 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 53 spins | 36 spins | 119 spins | 490 spins |
A gap is the number of rounds from one hit to the next, counting the hit itself, so the shortest possible gap is 1. Expected is the share the game’s own segment count gives the result, or its long-run recorded share where the game publishes no segment maths.
The waits, bonus by bonus
What the archive says about how long each bonus makes you wait.
Lil' Bluesonce every 13 spinsmedian 9 spins9 in 10 under 30 spinslongest 134 spins · ended 9 October 2026Big Orangesonce every 26 spinsmedian 19 spins9 in 10 under 61 spinslongest 234 spins · ended 17 September 2026Huge Redsonce every 53 spinsmedian 36 spins9 in 10 under 119 spinslongest 490 spins · ended 19 September 2026How these numbers were made
Scoreo records every public round of the game as it settles and keeps it. Nothing here is sampled, simulated or rounded up from a smaller set: the counts are every round in the archive, and the page says how many that is and when recording started.
A round counts under the result it settled on, and under any second result the feed attaches to it. Monopoly Live files a Chance round that ends in a multiplier under the segment the respin landed on, so it counts under both; a Monopoly Big Baller draw that fills two bonus cards counts under both cards. That is the same rule the tracker pages use, so a figure here can never disagree with one there.
The gap between two hits is measured in rounds, not in minutes, because a bonus round takes longer to play than a number. Counting rounds is what makes the average comparable with the odds the game publishes.
What this does not tell you
Every round is independent. A long gap does not make the next hit more likely, and a short one does not use anything up: the odds of the next round are the same whatever the counters say. These figures describe rounds that have already been played. Nothing here predicts the next one, and anything that claims to is selling something.